Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002214 0.002339 0.002470 0.002620 0.002788 0.002972 0.003188
2025-03-02 0.002005 0.002172 0.002359 0.002584 0.002853 0.003167 0.003571
2025-03-09 0.001844 0.002034 0.002253 0.002528 0.002872 0.003298 0.003887
2025-03-16 0.001772 0.001986 0.002240 0.002572 0.003008 0.003582 0.004439
2025-03-23 0.001710 0.001941 0.002223 0.002605 0.003126 0.003853 0.005028
2025-03-30 0.001633 0.001872 0.002168 0.002579 0.003159 0.004003 0.005463
2025-04-06 0.001552 0.001790 0.002090 0.002513 0.003125 0.004047 0.005728
2025-04-13 0.001494 0.001735 0.002043 0.002484 0.003139 0.004162 0.006146
2025-04-20 0.001407 0.001638 0.001934 0.002361 0.003000 0.004013 0.006022
2025-04-27 0.001372 0.001607 0.001911 0.002358 0.003044 0.004170 0.006553
2025-05-04 0.001360 0.001605 0.001927 0.002411 0.003178 0.004502 0.007583
2025-05-11 0.001331 0.001578 0.001907 0.002409 0.003222 0.004677 0.008322
2025-05-18 0.001317 0.001574 0.001922 0.002463 0.003372 0.005097 0.010022
2025-05-25 0.001280 0.001536 0.001886 0.002438 0.003383 0.005242 0.011024
2025-06-01 0.001239 0.001491 0.001838 0.002389 0.003349 0.005285 0.011722
2025-06-08 0.001226 0.001484 0.001845 0.002430 0.003481 0.005730 0.014559
2025-06-15 0.001211 0.001474 0.001846 0.002460 0.003594 0.006167 0.018317
2025-06-22 0.001183 0.001444 0.001816 0.002436 0.003603 0.006339 0.021009
2025-06-29 0.001147 0.001402 0.001767 0.002377 0.003533 0.006288 0.021992
2025-07-06 0.001122 0.001375 0.001738 0.002351 0.003529 0.006418 0.025114
2025-07-13 0.001076 0.001317 0.001661 0.002239 0.003341 0.005994 0.021830
2025-07-20 0.001060 0.001301 0.001648 0.002237 0.003380 0.006237 0.026501
2025-07-27 0.001056 0.001304 0.001664 0.002285 0.003529 0.006862 0.042016